Independiente Medellin (W) – Orsomarso (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Independiente Medellin (W) vs Orsomarso (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 49d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 49d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Independiente Medellin (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Independiente Medellin (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.72Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Independiente Medellin (W)HOME
VS
Orsomarso (W)AWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
LDDWD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.80
Shots on target for
5.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.80
Home splitW-W3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitD-D1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.04% based on n=271 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Colombia Liga Femenina (co). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Independiente Medellin (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.2% 7D: 31.8% 15D: 22.3% 30D: 7.7%
Model insight

Independiente Medellin (W) – Orsomarso (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.04% across 271 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample198
Win Rate58.6%
Profit-3.35u
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LOSSAtletico Grau - Carlos Manucci1.64-7.35%
LOSSDundalk - Drogheda United1.64-9.21%
WINCento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC1.72-9.21%
LOSSLoudoun United FC - Sporting JAX1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.04% • n=271
Start
Started 49d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 49d 20h ago
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