Model: TIPPSH

Mlawianka Mlawa vs Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki

PREDICTION

@ 1.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 24, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 1

StartStarted 47d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mlawianka Mlawa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mlawianka Mlawa

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.05First seen

Current1.91Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds1.91Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mlawianka MlawaHOME

Lechia Tomaszow MazowieckiAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.40

Shots on target for

6.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

4.60

Home splitW-L-W-W2.50 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-W1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.80

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Mlawianka Mlawa a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mlawianka Mlawa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 47.4% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 8.5%

Model insight

Mlawianka Mlawa – Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample240

Win Rate45.0%

Profit-35.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20	1.93	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.80

Kickoff

Mag 24, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 47d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 22h ago