GAIS – Elfsborg

Model: TIPPSH

GAIS vs Elfsborg

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 12, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 8h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10h 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is GAIS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GAIS

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.93First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds1.95Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

GAISHOME
VS
ElfsborgAWAY
DWDWL
Recent form
LDDDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.20
Shots on target for
4.80
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.60
Home splitD-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitD-D-D-L-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. GAIS has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -30.6% 7D: -16.0% 15D: 26.8% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

GAIS – Elfsborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample320
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-23.39u
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Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Lug 12, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Starts in 2d 8h
Updated
Updated 10h 7m ago
Torna in alto