Model: TIPPSH

Houston Dynamo II vs St Louis City II

PREDICTION

@ 1.89

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 12, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 13h 40m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 19m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Houston Dynamo II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Houston Dynamo II

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.20First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Houston Dynamo IIHOME

St Louis City IIAWAY

WLLLW

Recent form

LLLDW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

2.20

Shots on target for

7.40

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

6.00

Home splitW4.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-D-D-L1.00 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.89

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Houston Dynamo II a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Houston Dynamo II's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 61.0% 7D: 0.5% 15D: 31.9% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

Houston Dynamo II – St Louis City II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample293

Win Rate47.1%

Profit-25.17u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.89

Kickoff

Lug 12, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 13h 40m

Updated

Updated 14h 19m ago