Deportivo Moron vs Deportivo Madryn
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Deportivo Moron. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Deportivo MoronValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Deportivo Moron is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Deportivo Moron – Deportivo Madryn Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk | 1.96 | 1.31% |
| WIN | America RJ - Serrano | 2.15 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Cobresal - Cobreloa | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | St Polten - SK Artis Brno | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20 | 2.06 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008 | 1 | 2.19 | 1.31% | 10 Jul 12:30 |
| Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 10 Jul 20:00 |
| Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 00:00 |
| EC Juventude - Vila Nova | 1 | 1.84 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 00:00 |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |
| Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 11 Jul 12:30 |