Logan Lightning – St George Willawong FC

Model: TIPPSH

Logan Lightning vs St George Willawong FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 27, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 45d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 22h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Logan Lightning. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Logan Lightning

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.44First seen
Current1.64Now
Max odds1.64Highest point
Min odds1.27Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Logan LightningHOME
VS
St George Willawong FCAWAY
DWWLW
Recent form
DLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
3.80
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.40
Home splitD-L0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-D-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Cup Qualifying (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.64
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Logan Lightning as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Logan Lightning has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 20.9% 7D: 29.1% 15D: 26.8% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Logan Lightning – St George Willawong FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample198
Win Rate58.6%
Profit-3.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINPK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz1.68-9.21%
WINNWS Spirit FC - St George Saints1.72-9.89%
WINNjardvik - Grindavik1.62-7.35%
WINArgentina - Switzerland1.71-7.35%
LOSSAtletico Grau - Carlos Manucci1.64-7.35%
LOSSDundalk - Drogheda United1.64-9.21%
WINCento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC1.72-9.21%
LOSSLoudoun United FC - Sporting JAX1.68-9.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC11.63-7.35%05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia11.70-9.21%07 Jun 18:00
FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn11.68-7.35%14 Jul 18:00
Pick
1 @ 1.64
Kickoff
Mag 27, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 45d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 22h ago
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