Model: TipA1

St Mochtas vs Killester Donnycarney FC

PREDICTION

@ 3.90

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 29, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 0

StartStarted 43d 18h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 9.91% · n=86

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Killester Donnycarney FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Killester Donnycarney FC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

76/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

St MochtasHOME

Killester Donnycarney FCAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LWLWL

Avg goals scored

3.20

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

6.60

6.80

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

5.20

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.20 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L-L1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.90. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.90

V2 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

V4 BandELITEROI 9.91% · n=86

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 11.5% 7D: 29.4% 15D: 23.9% 30D: 8.1%

Model insight

St Mochtas – Killester Donnycarney FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.90. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 9.91% and 9.91%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample12

Win Rate33.3%

Profit+3.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Huachipato - Deportes Concepcion	4.10	9.91%
WIN	Cabofriense - Perolas Negras	4.00	9.91%
LOSS	Orca Kamogawa FC (W) - Ehime FC (W)	3.80	9.91%
LOSS	EC Bahia - Botafogo	3.75	9.91%
LOSS	Barry Town - Haverfordwest County	3.80	9.07%
LOSS	CSD Chiquimulilla - Suchitepequez	3.90	9.07%
LOSS	Atletico Ottawa - Vancouver FC	4.00	9.07%
WIN	CF Intercity - CD Quintanar del Rey	3.80	9.07%

Pick

2 @ 3.90

Kickoff

Mag 29, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 9.91% • n=86

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

9.91% • n=86

Start

Started 43d 18h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 7h ago