Model: TIPPSH
Thisted FC vs FC Roskilde
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.06
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 29, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 57d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 58d 2h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Thisted FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Thisted FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
30/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.65First seen
Current2.28Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Thisted FCHOME
VS
FC RoskildeAWAY
LWWLL
Recent form
WLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
5.00
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.60
Home splitL-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-W-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.06
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.2%
7D: 34.1%
15D: 24.6%
30D: 8.6%
Model insight
Thisted FC – FC Roskilde Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample390
Win Rate47.4%
Profit-14.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad | 2.07 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | NEC - Elversberg | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Inter Lions - Prospect United | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA | 2.29 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Oxford City - Walton & Hersham | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W) | 1.99 | 1.04% |
| WIN | SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves | 1.99 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers | 1 | 2.28 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 18:15 |
| Real Murcia - Port Vale | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 25 Jul 19:00 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
| Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders | 1 | 2.15 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.06
Kickoff
Mag 29, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 57d ago
Updated
Updated 58d 2h ago