Model: TipA1

IK Kongahälla vs Astorps FF

PREDICTION

@ 2.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 2

StartStarted 49d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 50d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Astorps FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Astorps FF

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.37First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.37Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IK KongahällaHOME

Astorps FFAWAY

LLLWD

Recent form

WLWDD

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

2.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

2.60

Home splitL-L-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L2.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Astorps FF. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Astorps FF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 21.9% 7D: 19.2% 15D: 24.0% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

IK Kongahälla – Astorps FF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample153

Win Rate41.8%

Profit-8.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Pribram - FSV Frankfurt	2.00	3.75%
LOSS	Lions FC (W) - Brisbane City (W)	2.45	4.27%
LOSS	Jagiellonia Bialystok - Sparta Prague	2.40	4.27%
LOSS	Konyaspor - FC Zorya Lugansk	2.38	4.27%
WIN	CFD La Nororiental - Molino Viejo	2.45	4.27%
WIN	EDO ALL United - Nankatsu SC	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Central Ballester - General Lamadrid	2.30	4.27%
WIN	Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.25	4.27%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Academia Deportiva Cantolao - Club Ada Jaen	2	2.35	4.27%	19 Jul 17:45
FK Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	2	2.10	3.75%	19 Jul 18:00

Pick

2 @ 2.20

Kickoff

Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Started 49d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 50d 23h ago