Model: TIPPSA
Narpes Kraft – TP-47
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.88
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 2d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Narpes Kraft | TP-47 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-D | W-D-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L-L (home) | W-W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 2.75 conceded | 1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.40 against | 5.60 for / 3.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 0.50 for / 2.50 against (home) | 2.25 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices TP-47 as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. TP-47 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 13.9%
7D: 9.8%
15D: 23.6%
30D: 9.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.49Highest point
Min odds2.48Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Narpes Kraft – TP-47 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate44.4%
Profit+7.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Warta Gorzow - Zaglebie Lubin II | 2.63 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Bradford - Bolton | 2.74 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Osasuna - Atletico Madrid | 2.73 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.88
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 2d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 4h ago