Model: TipA1
AP Brera Strumica – FK Skopje
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 2d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.37% · n=123
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 12h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | AP Brera Strumica | FK Skopje |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-D-W | W-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-L-D (home) | W-W-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.80 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.40 scored / 0.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 5.00 against | 4.33 for / 1.33 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.33 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.50 for / 0.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FK Skopje's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 7.6%
7D: 8.2%
15D: 22.8%
30D: 8.6%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
AP Brera Strumica – FK Skopje Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.37% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample22
Win Rate36.4%
Profit+8.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabira | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | CF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes | 4.00 | 2.27% |
| WIN | FC Orbi - Guria Lanchkhuti | 3.60 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Santa Cruz FC - Ferroviaria SP | 3.70 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | San Francisco Glens SC - Davis Legacy | 3.80 | 4.37% |
| LOSS | Sao Joseense - Brasil de Pelotas | 3.75 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Union Molinense CF - Olimpico Totana | 3.90 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Hualian (W) - AC Taipei (W) | 3.80 | 4.41% |
Pick
2 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.37% • n=123
Start
Started 2d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 12h ago