Model: TipTromba2H
Real Aranjuez – UD Usera
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.62
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 2d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Real Aranjuez | UD Usera |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D | W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.67 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W (home) | W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.33 for / 4.00 against | 6.00 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.50 against (home) | 6.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 1.6%
7D: 15.4%
15D: 24.5%
30D: 10.4%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current1.62Now
Max odds1.62Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Real Aranjuez – UD Usera Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample260
Win Rate64.2%
Profit+8.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | India (W) - Bangladesh (W) | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Realidade Jovem (W) - Criciuma (W) | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Kasem Bundit University (W) - Chonburi Sports School (W) | 1.65 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Paris FC U19 (W) - Nantes U19 (W) | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | KMG Holdings - Brew Saga | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | West Torrens Birkalla Reserves - Adelaide Comets Reserves | 1.60 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Valencia (W) - Villarreal (W) | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FK Atmosfera - FK Zalgiris Vilnius II | 1.67 | -1.89% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix Reserves - Island Bay United | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 03 Jun 09:30 |
| LKS Lomza - Gornik Polkowice | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 03 Jun 19:26 |
Pick
1 @ 1.62
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 2d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 8h ago