NEC – Al Fayha

Model: TipTromba2H

NEC vs Al Fayha

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 18, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN7 - 0
StartStarted 8h 21m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 22h 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NEC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.67First seen
Current1.68Now
Max odds1.68Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NECHOME
VS
Al FayhaAWAY
WWLLD
Recent form
LLLLW
Avg goals scored
3.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
3.00
Shots on target for
9.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
7.60
Home splitW-W-L-W-D3.00 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-L0.20 scored / 2.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to World Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.67
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with NEC showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to NEC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 9.1% 7D: 3.3% 15D: 1.4% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

NEC – Al Fayha Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample391
Win Rate64.5%
Profit+14.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINViimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W)1.70-1.89%
LOSSFC Baleine Shimonoseki - Variamore Aki1.62-3.38%
LOSSWisla Krakow - SK Artis Brno1.73-3.38%
WINTaubate U20 - Guaratingueta U201.62-3.38%
LOSSFC Melbourne Srbija - Port Melbourne SC1.50-1.89%
WINClub Brugge - Heerenveen1.50-3.82%
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Pick
1 @ 1.67
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Started 8h 21m ago
Updated
Updated 22h 15m ago
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