Viimsi JK (W) – Saku Sporting (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Viimsi JK (W) vs Saku Sporting (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 37m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 56m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Viimsi JK (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Viimsi JK (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds2.06Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Viimsi JK (W)HOME
VS
Saku Sporting (W)AWAY
WWLWL
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.60
Shots on target for
6.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
7.40
Home splitD1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-W2.67 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Meistriliiga Women (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Viimsi JK (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 54.6% 7D: 7.1% 15D: 9.6% 30D: 19.7%
Model insight

Viimsi JK (W) – Saku Sporting (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample331
Win Rate49.5%
Profit-12.57u
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Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 22h 37m
Updated
Updated 1h 56m ago
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