Model: TIPPSH
Ponnistus – ToTe/Tapio
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.97
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 03, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 3h 27m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 37m ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ponnistus | ToTe/Tapio |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-W | D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 0.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 4.60 | 2.50 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.67 scored / 4.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.67 for / 5.33 against | 1.75 for / 4.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 1.50 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Ponnistus has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -28.6%
7D: -6.1%
15D: 20.9%
30D: 13.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.29First seen
Current1.97Now
Max odds2.05Highest point
Min odds1.29Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ponnistus – ToTe/Tapio Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample132
Win Rate47.0%
Profit-10.57u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Marchfeld Donauauen - SR Fach-Donaufeld | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Penarol Reserves - Torque Reserves | 2.20 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Sunshine Coast Wanderers - St George Willawong FC | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves - Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Reserves | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Sport Huancayo II - Ayacucho FC | 2.01 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | RoPS - OLS | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Vanraure Hachinohe - Fukushima Utd | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | O'Higgins - Everton de Vina | 1.94 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Seongnam FC - Gimhae FC 2008 | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan FC | 1 | 1.86 | 1.04% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| CD Castellon - Almeria | 1 | 1.80 | 1.04% | 06 Jun 21:00 |
| CRB - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 1.77 | 1.04% | 07 Jun 21:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.97
Kickoff
Giu 03, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 3h 27m ago
Updated
Updated 5h 37m ago