Model: TipA1

Polisportiva Pietralunghese vs Ilvamaddalena

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 45d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.37% · n=75

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.37% · n=75

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ilvamaddalena. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IlvamaddalenaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.76Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Polisportiva PietralungheseHOME

IlvamaddalenaAWAY

WDLW

Recent form

LDWD

Avg goals scored

1.50

1.75

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.50

Shots on target for

2.67

6.33

SoT conceded pressure

6.67

3.33

Home splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-D1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.37% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Eccellenza (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.37% · n=75

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.37% · n=75

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Ilvamaddalena. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Ilvamaddalena has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -19.8% 7D: -14.6% 15D: -9.7% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

Polisportiva Pietralunghese – Ilvamaddalena Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.37% and 7.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample96

Win Rate36.5%

Profit-0.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Alianza FC - Antigua GFC	2.75	5.52%
LOSS	Al Sahel SC - Khaitan	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	Go Ahead Eagles - OFI Crete	2.80	5.52%
LOSS	Taubate (W) - Sport Recife (W)	2.70	6.36%
WIN	Neusiedl - Helfort 15	2.50	7.37%
LOSS	Karlovac - NK Krka	2.90	5.52%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - Johvi FC Phoenix	2.55	6.36%
LOSS	SV Lafnitz - USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2.90	5.52%

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Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Giu 14, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.37% • n=75

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.37% • n=75

Start

Started 45d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 10h ago