Tusker – Kenya Police FC

Model: TIPPSA

Tusker vs Kenya Police FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 56d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 56d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kenya Police FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kenya Police FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

32/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.44Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TuskerHOME
VS
Kenya Police FCAWAY
WDLLD
Recent form
LW
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.00
Shots on target for
2.60
4.50
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
3.50
Home splitW-D-D-W-L1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.36. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kenya Cup (ke). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.36
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Kenya Police FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -20.0% 7D: -6.5% 15D: -8.2% 30D: 10.5%
Model insight

Tusker – Kenya Police FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate41.1%
Profit-4.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSBrighton (W) - PSG (W)2.250.84%
LOSSFC Brno II - Frydek Mistek2.420.84%
WINChattanooga Red Wolves - Union Omaha2.580.84%
LOSSDundee - Aberdeen2.610.84%
WINKorona Kielce II - Wisla Krakow II2.250.84%
LOSSLarne FC - FC Iberia 19992.231.76%
LOSSWexford FC - Bray Wanderers2.280.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.36
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 4:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Started 56d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 56d 20h ago
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