Model: TipTromba2H
Itaquaquecetuba U23 – Maua U23
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.53
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN5 - 1
StartStarted 6d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.82% · n=495
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7d 2h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.61Now
Max odds1.62Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Itaquaquecetuba U23 | Maua U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-W | L-D-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W-W-W (home) | L-L-W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.60 scored / 0.40 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 2.40 against | 4.80 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 5.60 for / 5.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market strongly favors Itaquaquecetuba U23, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Itaquaquecetuba U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -23.4%
7D: 4.1%
15D: -7.4%
30D: 10.4%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Paulista Serie B (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.53
V2 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
V4 BandNONEROI -3.82% · n=495
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
Model insight
Itaquaquecetuba U23 – Maua U23 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.82% and -3.82%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample317
Win Rate65.3%
Profit+16.16u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bigfoot FC (W) - Tacoma Galaxy (W) | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Comunal Cabrero - Futuro FC | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | FC 03 Differdange - UNA Strassen | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CA Huracan U20 - Central Cordoba SdE U20 | 1.55 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Renofa Yamaguchi (W) - FC Yamato Sylphid (W) | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Simba Sports Club - Coastal Union | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Cooks Hill United Reserves - Weston Workers Reserves | 1.50 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC - Prospect United | 1.62 | -3.38% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) - Hills United FC (W) | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 21 Jun 09:00 |
| Kjelsas U19 - Sprint/Jeløy U19 | 1 | 1.57 | -3.38% | 21 Jun 14:00 |
| Kawempe Muslim FC (W) - Kampala Queens (W) | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 21 Jun 14:00 |
| FC Elimai Semey - FK Atyrau | 1 | 1.65 | -1.89% | 21 Jun 16:00 |
| Risaleh Toura - Al Irshad Chehim | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 22 Jun 15:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.53
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.82% • n=495
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.82% • n=495
Start
Started 6d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 7d 2h ago