Model: TIPPSA
Brasil de Farroupilha – Santa Cruz RS
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.67
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 6d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6d 14h ago
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.22First seen
Current2.67Now
Max odds2.67Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Brasil de Farroupilha | Santa Cruz RS |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-L-D-D | D-D-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-L-D (home) | D-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.40 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.80 for / 5.80 against | 4.00 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.50 for / 6.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Santa Cruz RS shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Santa Cruz RS's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -14.1%
7D: 7.4%
15D: -6.1%
30D: 11.3%
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.67. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Gaucho (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Pick2
Odd2.67
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight
Brasil de Farroupilha – Santa Cruz RS Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.67. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample109
Win Rate39.4%
Profit+2.53u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre | 2.65 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Chongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan | 2.52 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Deportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota | 2.56 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - SJK | 2.51 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.67
Kickoff
Giu 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 6d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 6d 14h ago