Model: TIPPSA

Auckland United FC vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland

PREDICTION

@ 2.03

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 20, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 45d 17h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Eastern Suburbs Auckland. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Eastern Suburbs AucklandGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.10Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.10Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Auckland United FCHOME

Eastern Suburbs AucklandAWAY

WDLWW

Recent form

LWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.60

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.60

Shots on target for

3.80

8.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.00

Home splitW-W-D-W-L2.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-W-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.03. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Northern League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.03

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Eastern Suburbs Auckland's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 12.3% 7D: -4.8% 15D: -5.0% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Auckland United FC – Eastern Suburbs Auckland Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample92

Win Rate51.1%

Profit+5.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Larne FC - FC Iberia 1999	2.23	1.76%
LOSS	Wexford FC - Bray Wanderers	2.28	0.84%
WIN	Brommapojkarna - Malmo FF	2.08	1.21%
LOSS	Estrela - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2.23	1.21%
LOSS	Carina Gubin - Miedz Legnica II	2.19	1.21%
LOSS	Hradec Kralove - Tromso	2.11	1.21%
LOSS	Amazonas FC - Paysandu	2.15	1.21%
LOSS	Necaxa - Monterrey	2.13	1.76%

Pick

2 @ 2.03

Kickoff

Giu 20, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 45d 17h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 2h ago