Arnedo vs Tropezon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Arnedo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ArnedoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Arnedo
Tropezon
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Arnedo's attacking profile.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
Arnedo – Tropezon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Provincial Ovalle - Real Juventud San Joaquin | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Detroit City FC - Louisville City FC | 2.36 | 2.49% |
| WIN | The Gap NPL (W) - Mitchelton FC (W) | 2.31 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Harju JK Laagri - JK Nomme United | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | JK Nomme Kalju II - JK Nomme United II | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Salvo SC (W) - Minnesota Thunder (W) | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Nomads United - Nelson Suburbs | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Londrina - Avai | 2.33 | 3.15% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
| Central Espanol Reserves - Colon FC Reserves | 1 | 2.34 | 2.49% | 22 Jun 19:00 |