Arnedo – Tropezon

Model: TIPPSH

Arnedo vs Tropezon

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 1d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arnedo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arnedo

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.52Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arnedo

WLWDW
Avg goals scored1.00
Avg goals conceded0.60
Shots on target4.00 for / 1.00 against
Home formW-W-W-W-W
1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
1.00 for / 0.00 against (home)

Tropezon

LWWDW
Avg goals scored1.00
Avg goals conceded0.20
Shots on target2.40 for / 3.00 against
Away formL-W-D-W-L
0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
2.40 for / 2.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Arnedo's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 25.9% 7D: 5.5% 15D: -0.3% 30D: 7.4%

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera - Play-Offs (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh
Model insight

Arnedo – Tropezon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample247
Win Rate45.7%
Profit-13.79u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSProvincial Ovalle - Real Juventud San Joaquin2.252.49%
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WINThe Gap NPL (W) - Mitchelton FC (W)2.312.49%
LOSSHarju JK Laagri - JK Nomme United2.252.49%
WINJK Nomme Kalju II - JK Nomme United II2.252.49%
WINSalvo SC (W) - Minnesota Thunder (W)2.302.49%
LOSSNomads United - Nelson Suburbs2.302.49%
WINLondrina - Avai2.333.15%
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 1d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 16h ago
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