AC Izabelense – Itupiranga

Model: TIPPSH

AC Izabelense vs Itupiranga

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 21, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 45d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is AC Izabelense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: AC IzabelenseGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.40Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds2.03Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AC IzabelenseHOME
VS
ItupirangaAWAY
DWDL
Recent form
D
Avg goals scored
1.25
0.00
Defensive weakness
1.25
0.00
Shots on target for
8.25
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.50
9.00
Home splitD-W-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paraense A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.35
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. Historical model data adds support here, as similar ELITE selections have produced encouraging results. AC Izabelense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 1.8% 7D: 2.6% 15D: -5.4% 30D: 7.5%
Model insight

AC Izabelense – Itupiranga Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample19
Win Rate57.9%
Profit+6.84u
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WINSpokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence2.278.94%
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WINDalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan2.288.94%
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Pick
1 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Giu 21, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Started 45d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 7h ago
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