Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon Citizen FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Pocheon Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Pocheon Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.61% based on n=39 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Pocheon Citizen FC. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Pocheon Citizen FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Gyeongju HNP – Pocheon Citizen FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NWS Spirit FC - Blacktown City | 2.57 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Hertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg | 2.76 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | FC Gute - Kungsängens IF | 2.80 | 3.61% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 2.76 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Panama U20 - Canada U20 | 2.71 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Gremio - Fluminense | 2.54 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Kalmar FF - Mjällby AIF | 2.71 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Kalmar FF - Malmo FF | 2.82 | 4.96% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |