Model: TipA1

Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon Citizen FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusUpcoming

KickoffGiu 28, 2026 9:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 19h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.14% · n=199

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pocheon Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pocheon Citizen FC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

67/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gyeongju HNPHOME

Pocheon Citizen FCAWAY

DLDDW

Recent form

WWDWD

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.20

1.00

Shots on target for

5.40

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

1.80

Home splitL-W-D-D-D1.80 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 11.14% based on n=199 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

V4 BandELITEROI 11.14% · n=199

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -29.5% 7D: -28.9% 15D: -11.4% 30D: -3.4%

Model insight

Gyeongju HNP – Pocheon Citizen FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.14% and 11.14%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample10

Win Rate70.0%

Profit+6.25u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Minnesota Bliss (W) - St Croix SC (W)	2.35	11.14%
WIN	Moto Club U20 - Maranhao U20	2.20	11.04%
WIN	Heidelberg United (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	11.14%
WIN	Paysandu U20 - Atletico Goianiense U20	2.20	11.04%
WIN	Puebla U19 (W) - Unam Pumas U19 (W)	2.40	11.72%
LOSS	Sandefjord 2 - Lyn 1896 II	2.35	11.72%
WIN	Botafogo U20 (W) - Ferroviaria U20 (W)	2.40	11.72%
LOSS	Al Hilal Riyadh (W) - Al Qadisiyah (W)	2.25	11.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Heidelberg United (W) - Boroondara Eagles (W)	2	2.25	11.14%	27 Jun 08:15
Caroline Springs George Cross FC - Preston Lions	2	2.00	11.04%	27 Jun 10:00

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Giu 28, 2026 9:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 11.14% • n=199

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

11.14% • n=199

Start

Starts in 2d 19h

Updated

Updated 3h 8m ago