Gyeongju HNP – Pocheon Citizen FC

Model: TIPPSA

Gyeongju HNP vs Pocheon Citizen FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 42d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.61% · n=39
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.61% · n=39
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pocheon Citizen FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pocheon Citizen FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.33First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gyeongju HNPHOME
VS
Pocheon Citizen FCAWAY
LDLDD
Recent form
WWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.60
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.20
2.20
Home splitL-L-W-D-D1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.61% based on n=39 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K3 League (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.61% · n=39
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.61% · n=39
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Pocheon Citizen FC. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Pocheon Citizen FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -15.8% 7D: -13.0% 15D: -8.2% 30D: -2.5%
Model insight

Gyeongju HNP – Pocheon Citizen FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.61% and 3.61%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample93
Win Rate39.8%
Profit+4.94u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSNWS Spirit FC - Blacktown City2.574.13%
WINHertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg2.764.96%
LOSSFC Gute - Kungsängens IF2.803.61%
LOSSAarau - Stade Lausanne-Ouchy2.764.96%
WINPanama U20 - Canada U202.714.13%
LOSSGremio - Fluminense2.543.43%
LOSSKalmar FF - Mjällby AIF2.714.13%
LOSSKalmar FF - Malmo FF2.824.96%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.61% • n=39
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.61% • n=39
Start
Started 42d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 20h ago
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