South Hobart (W) – Kingborough Lions (W)

Model: TipA1

South Hobart (W) vs Kingborough Lions (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 28, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 7h 20m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kingborough Lions (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kingborough Lions (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.00Now
Max odds5.58Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

South Hobart (W)HOME
VS
Kingborough Lions (W)AWAY
WDLLL
Recent form
LDWDL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.80
2.00
Shots on target for
5.80
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
9.00
8.40
Home splitW-L-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L2.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.58% based on n=86 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Super League Women (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Kingborough Lions (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Kingborough Lions (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -6.4% 7D: -6.9% 15D: -6.5% 30D: -2.4%
Model insight

South Hobart (W) – Kingborough Lions (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 86 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+2.75u
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Pick
2 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Giu 28, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=86
Start
Started 7h 20m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 22m ago
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