Keilor Park – Moreland City SC

Model: TIPPSH

Keilor Park vs Moreland City SC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 1:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarted 51d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 51d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Keilor Park. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Keilor ParkGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.25Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Keilor ParkHOME
VS
Moreland City SCAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
LDWLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
1.80
Shots on target for
4.20
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.40
Home splitW-W-W-D-D1.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.24. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.24
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -10.2% 7D: -9.3% 15D: -7.5% 30D: -2.8%
Model insight

Keilor Park – Moreland City SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample491
Win Rate47.0%
Profit+10.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSRebordosa - FC Tirsense2.191.04%
WINVilla San Carlos - Defensores Unidos2.251.59%
WINMolde - Tromso2.111.31%
WINSt Patricks - Shamrock Rovers2.251.59%
LOSSIngulets Petrovo - Nyva Ternopil2.101.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 1:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 51d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 51d 19h ago
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