Craigavon City (W) – Ballymoney United (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Craigavon City (W) vs Ballymoney United (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.35
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 5h 42m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.43% · n=79
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9h 41m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ballymoney United (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ballymoney United (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.91First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds1.91Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Craigavon City (W)HOME
VS
Ballymoney United (W)AWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
3.00
Defensive weakness
3.20
2.00
Shots on target for
3.80
7.40
SoT conceded pressure
8.80
4.20
Home splitL-W-L-W1.25 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L1.75 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.35. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.43% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Northern Ireland Championship Women (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.35
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.43% · n=79
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Ballymoney United (W). The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ballymoney United (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 9.5% 7D: -11.7% 15D: -6.9% 30D: -1.8%
Model insight

Craigavon City (W) – Ballymoney United (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.43% and 3.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample151
Win Rate40.4%
Profit-7.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
Pick
2 @ 2.35
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.43% • n=79
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.43% • n=79
Start
Started 5h 42m ago
Updated
Updated 9h 41m ago
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