Model: TIPPSH

East Kilbride vs Kelty Hearts

PREDICTION

@ 1.84

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 49d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 49d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is East Kilbride. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: East KilbrideGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.84Now

Max odds1.84Highest point

Min odds1.80Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East KilbrideHOME

Kelty HeartsAWAY

WWWWL

Recent form

LLWLL

Avg goals scored

2.80

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.20

1.80

Shots on target for

6.00

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-W3.75 scored / 0.25 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-L0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.84. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.84

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors East Kilbride. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. East Kilbride has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -28.3% 7D: -21.7% 15D: -10.8% 30D: -4.9%

Model insight

East Kilbride – Kelty Hearts Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample292

Win Rate52.4%

Profit+0.16u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Everton de Vina - Audax Italiano	1.96	3.37%
LOSS	Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch	1.76	3.37%
LOSS	Man Utd - AC Milan	1.91	3.37%
LOSS	CD Antofagasta - Santiago Wanderers	1.88	3.37%
LOSS	Al Taawon Buraidah - Al Khaleej Saihat	1.80	3.37%
WIN	Kairat Almaty (W) - Kaisar Kyzylorda (W)	1.96	3.37%
WIN	Cruzeiro - Mirassol	1.76	3.37%
WIN	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	1.75	3.37%

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Pick

1 @ 1.84

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Started 49d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 49d 13h ago