Model: TipTromba35H

Nykarleby IK vs Sporting Kristina

PREDICTION

@ 3.20

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 02, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 18h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nykarleby IK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nykarleby IK

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

50/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nykarleby IKHOME

Sporting KristinaAWAY

LWDWL

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.80

Shots on target for

4.20

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

3.20

Home splitW-W-W-D3.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-D2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.20

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 71.6% 7D: 23.7% 15D: 12.0% 30D: 3.0%

Model insight

Nykarleby IK – Sporting Kristina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample166

Win Rate28.3%

Profit-15.78u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W)	3.40	4.14%
LOSS	Cerro Largo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves	3.40	4.14%
LOSS	Seacoast United Phantoms - Black Rock FC	3.10	3.85%
LOSS	Stabaek (W) - Fortuna Aalesund (W)	3.00	3.85%
LOSS	Adamstown Rosebud (W) - Lake Macquarie (W)	3.40	4.14%
LOSS	Eastern United Reserves - Cumberland United Reserves	3.40	4.14%
LOSS	Club Atlético El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano	3.00	3.85%
WIN	Puerto Nuevo - Victoriano Arenas	3.10	3.85%

Pick

1 @ 3.20

Kickoff

Lug 02, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519

Start

Starts in 1d 18h

Updated

Updated 3m ago