Stabaek (W) vs Fortuna Aalesund (W)
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Stabaek (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Stabaek (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Cup Women (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Stabaek (W). There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Stabaek (W) – Fortuna Aalesund (W) Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Mineros - Monagas II | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Lebedyn | 3.07 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Bury Town - Halesowen | 2.95 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Vanraure Hachinohe - Kataller Toyama | 2.93 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Otrant-Olympic Ulcinj - OFK Petrovac | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | FC Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi | 2.90 | 4.53% |
| WIN | AD Isidro Metapan - CD Aguila | 2.81 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Alianza - Atletico Bucaramanga | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 1 | 3.09 | 4.53% | 21 Jul 19:00 |
| Asteras Tripolis - AEK Larnaca | 1 | 2.92 | 4.53% | 12 Aug 18:30 |
| Eintracht Norderstedt - Kickers Emden | 1 | 3.22 | 4.53% | 12 Aug 19:00 |
| Cruzeiro - Flamengo | 1 | 3.12 | 4.53% | 13 Aug 02:30 |
| Oaxaca - Tepatitlan FC | 1 | 3.02 | 4.53% | 14 Aug 03:00 |
| Marseille - Atletico Madrid | 1 | 2.94 | 2.79% | 14 Aug 17:30 |
| Crusaders - Ballymena Utd | 1 | 2.96 | 4.53% | 15 Aug 16:00 |
| KFC Komarno - Dunajska Streda | 1 | 3.19 | 4.53% | 16 Aug 19:00 |