Aguia de Maraba vs ABC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Aguia de Maraba. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Aguia de MarabaValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Aguia de Maraba has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Aguia de Maraba – ABC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | MP II - HaPK | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Vejle - Randers FC | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | AS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Nykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina | 3.20 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Seacoast United Phantoms - Black Rock FC | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Stabaek (W) - Fortuna Aalesund (W) | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Club Atlético El Linqueño - Sportivo Belgrano | 3.00 | 3.85% |