Model: TIPPSH

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Bucheon

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 2:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 13h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gimcheon Sangmu FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Gimcheon Sangmu FC

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.08Highest point

Min odds2.06Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Gimcheon Sangmu FCHOME

BucheonAWAY

DLDLL

Recent form

DWDLL

Avg goals scored

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.80

Shots on target for

2.40

1.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.00

4.40

Home splitD-L-L-L-D0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-L-W-L-W0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to South Korea K League 1 (kr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -36.8% 7D: 13.3% 15D: 23.3% 30D: 14.0%

Model insight

Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Bucheon Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample300

Win Rate47.0%

Profit-13.81u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Belconnen United U23 - Canberra Juventus U23	2.25	1.59%
WIN	America RJ - Serrano	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Cobresal - Cobreloa	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Olaria AC - Bonsucesso FC	2.19	1.04%
LOSS	St Polten - SK Artis Brno	2.03	1.31%
LOSS	Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20	2.06	1.31%
WIN	Excursionistas U20 - Lujan U20	1.89	1.04%
LOSS	Liaoning Tieren U20 - Qingdao Hainiu U20	1.93	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 2:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.63% • n=470

Start

Starts in 3d 13h

Updated

Updated 7m ago