Model: TIPPSH
Olaria AC vs Bonsucesso FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.19
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 04, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 17m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 27m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Olaria AC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Olaria ACValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
33/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.18First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Olaria ACHOME
VS
Bonsucesso FCAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WDLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
4.00
Home splitW-W-D-D-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-L-D0.00 scored / 0.80 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.19. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.19
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 102.8%
7D: 106.9%
15D: 34.3%
30D: 12.8%
Model insight
Olaria AC – Bonsucesso FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.19. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample228
Win Rate46.5%
Profit-2.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | St Polten - SK Artis Brno | 2.03 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - XV de Jau U20 | 2.06 | 1.31% |
| WIN | CA Atlanta Reserves - Tristan Suarez Reserves | 2.26 | 1.59% |
| WIN | CD Moron Reserves - Acassuso Reserves | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Switzerland - Algeria | 2.05 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal de Sarandi - CS Dock Sud | 2.18 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.24 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Atlanta United II - Crown Legacy | 1.97 | 1.04% |
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| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.19
Kickoff
Lug 04, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Starts in 21h 17m
Updated
Updated 1h 27m ago