Model: TIPPSH

Logan Lightning vs Ipswich FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.72

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 11, 2026 11:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 20h 5m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 14h 56m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Logan Lightning. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Logan Lightning

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.50First seen

Current2.72Now

Max odds2.72Highest point

Min odds2.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Logan LightningHOME

Ipswich FCAWAY

LWLLL

Recent form

DLLLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

Shots on target for

6.40

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.40

Home splitW-L-L-W-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.72. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.72

V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Logan Lightning's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 4.5% 7D: -10.6% 15D: 28.3% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Logan Lightning – Ipswich FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample40

Win Rate37.5%

Profit-1.28u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Brisbane Roar NPL - Rochedale Rovers	2.50	1.59%
WIN	Aarhus Fremad - Silkeborg IF	2.64	1.41%
LOSS	Athletic Club MG - Operario PR	2.49	1.59%
LOSS	FC Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	CA Patrocinense - Uberaba	2.51	1.59%
WIN	Los Angeles FC II - Houston Dynamo II	2.72	1.59%
LOSS	IF Gnistan - VPS Vaasa	2.58	1.59%
LOSS	Egypt - Iran	2.47	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves	1	2.65	1.59%	30 May 16:00
Athlone Town - Cobh Ramblers	1	2.51	1.59%	10 Jul 20:45

Pick

1 @ 2.72

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 11:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.41% • n=109

Start

Starts in 20h 5m

Updated

Updated 14h 56m ago