PEPO – HPS

Model: TipTromba2H

PEPO vs HPS

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.80
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 5h
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 10.87% · n=72
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is PEPO. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PEPO

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current1.80Now
Max odds1.87Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PEPOHOME
VS
HPSAWAY
LDLWD
Recent form
WWLWD
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.20
Shots on target for
6.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
6.60
Home splitD-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.80. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 10.87% based on n=72 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.80
V2 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72
V4 BandELITEROI 10.87% · n=72
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to PEPO's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -30.6% 7D: -16.0% 15D: 26.8% 30D: 10.7%
Model insight

PEPO – HPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 10.87% and 10.87%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate46.2%
Profit-1.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSOlimpija Ljubljana - FK Cukaricki1.9110.87%
WINRhode Island Rogues (W) - Albany Rush (W)1.8510.87%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Port U201.9110.87%
LOSSBenfica Macau - Cheng Fung1.8510.87%
LOSSIAPE U20 - Sao Luis MA U201.8310.87%
LOSSBalcatta FC (W) - Perth Redstar FC (W)1.9110.87%
WINVV Alkmaar (W) - Excelsior (W)1.9110.87%
WINNautico Capibaribe U20 - Retro U201.8311.18%
Pick
1 @ 1.80
Kickoff
Lug 11, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 10.87% • n=72
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
10.87% • n=72
Start
Starts in 1d 5h
Updated
Updated 12h 58m ago
Torna in alto