Matlock Town – Quorn

Model: TipTromba4H

Matlock Town vs Quorn

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 6h 28m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.05% · n=21
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.05% · n=21
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 20h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Matlock Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Matlock Town

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.75First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds3.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Matlock TownHOME
VS
QuornAWAY
LL
Recent form
WLLDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.50
2.40
Shots on target for
6.00
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.60
Home splitL-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-L1.00 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.05% based on n=21 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.75
V2 BandNONEROI -3.05% · n=21
V4 BandNONEROI -3.05% · n=21
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -6.8% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 24.2% 30D: 16.8%
Model insight

Matlock Town – Quorn Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.05% and -3.05%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate44.4%
Profit+11.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSTonbridge Angels - Sutton Utd3.70-4.45%
WINJyTy - SalPa 23.90-3.05%
LOSSAarhus Fremad - SK Brann3.70-0.61%
LOSSHawkesbury City SC - Fraser Park3.60-4.45%
LOSSReyady Abaseya - Sagesse SC3.50-1.19%
WINQueanbeyan City - Monaro Panthers3.70-4.45%
WINMitundu Baptist FC - Civil Service Utd3.60-1.19%
LOSSClube Atletico Piauiense (W) - Santos (W)3.70-4.45%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Changwon City - Gimhae FC 200813.50-0.61%15 Jul 12:00
Pick
1 @ 3.75
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.05% • n=21
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.05% • n=21
Start
Started 6h 28m ago
Updated
Updated 20h 27m ago
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