Merthyr Town vs Yeovil
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Merthyr Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Merthyr TownValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.87. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Merthyr Town. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Merthyr Town is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Merthyr Town – Yeovil Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 2.89 | 2.04% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Eastern Suburbs Auckland - Birkenhead United | 2.79 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Renaissance Zemamra - OC Safi | 2.85 | 4.53% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami FC - Indy Eleven | 1 | 2.79 | 4.53% | 16 Jul 01:00 |
| Seongnam FC - Busan I Park | 1 | 3.01 | 4.53% | 18 Jul 12:30 |