Puskas Academy – Istanbul Basaksehir

Model: TIPPSA

Puskas Academy vs Istanbul Basaksehir

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.14
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 16, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 2
StartStarted 22h 19m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Istanbul Basaksehir. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Istanbul Basaksehir

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

23/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current2.19Now
Max odds2.19Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puskas AcademyHOME
VS
Istanbul BasaksehirAWAY
LDWDW
Recent form
WWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.00
Shots on target for
3.80
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.60
Home splitL-D-W-D-W1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.14. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.84% based on n=515 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.14
V2 BandNONEROI -0.84% · n=515
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Istanbul Basaksehir a useful statistical edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Istanbul Basaksehir's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 7.7% 7D: 3.0% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 16.1%
Model insight

Puskas Academy – Istanbul Basaksehir Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.14. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.84% across 515 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate45.0%
Profit-1.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSFC Nordsjaelland - Sparta Prague2.17-0.84%
LOSSBATE Borisov - AF Elbasani2.20-0.84%
WINKelty Hearts - Queen's Park2.20-0.84%
LOSSDrogheda United - Shelbourne2.06-0.84%
WINFenix - Leones de Rosario2.14-0.84%
LOSSMoreton City Excelsior (W) - Palm Beach SC (W)2.13-0.84%
WINHPS - Kiffen2.22-0.84%
WINOlimpia Elblag II - DKS Dobre Miasto2.08-0.84%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Spartak Moscow U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U1922.21-0.84%17 Jul 14:00
Pick
2 @ 2.14
Kickoff
Lug 16, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.84% • n=515
Start
Started 22h 19m ago
Updated
Updated 1d ago
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