Taubate U20 – Guaratingueta U20

Model: TIPPSH

Taubate U20 vs Guaratingueta U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 17, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 19h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Taubate U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Taubate U20

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.62First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Taubate U20HOME
VS
Guaratingueta U20AWAY
WWWDW
Recent form
LWD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.33
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.33
Shots on target for
6.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
3.00
Home splitW-D-W1.67 scored / 0.67 conceded
Away splitL-D0.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.13. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.13
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Taubate U20 a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Taubate U20's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -4.1% 7D: -9.9% 15D: -0.7% 30D: 14.0%
Model insight

Taubate U20 – Guaratingueta U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample312
Win Rate47.8%
Profit-1.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East2.241.04%
LOSSInter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC1.921.31%
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WINItabirito U20 - Social FC MG U201.971.31%
WINZrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje1.971.31%
LOSSSpringvale White Eagles - Nunawading2.041.31%
WINAZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves2.251.59%
LOSSLeon - Atlas2.061.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Lug 17, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 19h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 9m ago
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