Model: TIPPSH

Zrinjski Mostar vs HSK Posusje

PREDICTION

@ 1.97

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 17, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 40m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1h 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Zrinjski Mostar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Zrinjski Mostar

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.50First seen

Current1.70Now

Max odds1.70Highest point

Min odds1.42Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Zrinjski MostarHOME

HSK PosusjeAWAY

WWWWD

Recent form

LLDDL

Avg goals scored

3.00

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.40

Shots on target for

5.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-D-W2.40 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-D0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.97. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.97

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Zrinjski Mostar a useful statistical edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Zrinjski Mostar's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 79.4% 7D: 2.6% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 18.0%

Model insight

Zrinjski Mostar – HSK Posusje Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.97. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample349

Win Rate47.6%

Profit-22.83u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC	1.79	1.04%
WIN	Botafogo - Santos	2.05	1.31%
LOSS	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	1.98	1.31%
WIN	FC Fredericia - CD Mafra	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	Gyeongnam FC - Yeoju	1.82	1.04%
WIN	OH Leuven - Lommel	1.77	1.31%
WIN	Lech Poznan - Gornik Zabrze	1.81	1.31%
LOSS	Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom	1.92	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.97

Kickoff

Lug 17, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1h 40m

Updated

Updated 1h 11m ago