Model: TipA1

Chivas Guadalajara U19 vs Toluca U19

PREDICTION

@ 2.88

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 9:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 10m

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 3m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Toluca U19. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Toluca U19

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

77/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.91First seen

Current2.88Now

Max odds2.91Highest point

Min odds2.88Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Chivas Guadalajara U19HOME

Toluca U19AWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

DWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

4.20

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

4.60

Home splitW-W-W-W2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.47% based on n=254 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX U19 (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.88

V2 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Toluca U19. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Toluca U19 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 7.0% 7D: 2.1% 15D: 3.8% 30D: 16.6%

Model insight

Chivas Guadalajara U19 – Toluca U19 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.88. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.47% and 12.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample26

Win Rate30.8%

Profit-2.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Worgl SV - FC Kufstein	3.00	12.47%
LOSS	Istra 1961 - Milton Keynes Dons	2.90	12.47%
LOSS	CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC	2.75	9.73%
LOSS	Pogon Mogilno - Grom Nowy Staw	3.10	12.47%
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Balcatta FC (W)	2.70	11.14%
WIN	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.80	9.73%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC	2.80	12.47%
LOSS	All Boys U20 - Villa Dalmine U20	3.00	12.47%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Cadiz - Orlando Pirates	2	2.75	14.27%	18 Jul 18:45

Pick

2 @ 2.88

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 9:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 12.47% • n=254

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

12.47% • n=254

Start

Starts in 1h 10m

Updated

Updated 10h 3m ago