Model: TipTromba2H

Toluca vs Unam Pumas

PREDICTION

@ 1.70

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 22, 2026 7:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 20h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Toluca

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

TolucaHOME

Unam PumasAWAY

LDLWL

Recent form

LLWLD

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

6.40

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.00

Home splitD-W-L-W-D2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-D-W1.60 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga MX (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.70

V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Toluca, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Toluca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 11.5% 7D: 5.3% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 17.1%

Model insight

Toluca – Unam Pumas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample393

Win Rate64.1%

Profit+12.12u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20	1.62	-3.82%
LOSS	GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	NEC - Al Fayha	1.67	-3.82%
LOSS	Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	1.62	-3.38%
LOSS	Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W)	1.70	-1.89%
LOSS	FC Baleine Shimonoseki - Variamore Aki	1.62	-3.38%
LOSS	Wisla Krakow - SK Artis Brno	1.73	-3.38%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev	1	1.73	-3.82%	19 Jul 11:30
JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II	1	1.53	-1.89%	19 Jul 11:30

Pick

1 @ 1.70

Kickoff

Lug 22, 2026 7:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-1.89% • n=1157

Start

Starts in 2d 20h

Updated

Updated 6h 28m ago