Model: TIPPSH

FC Ajka vs Csakvari TK

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 18, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 1d ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Ajka. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC Ajka

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.38First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.45Highest point

Min odds2.38Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC AjkaHOME

Csakvari TKAWAY

LLWLL

Recent form

WDWWL

Avg goals scored

0.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

2.20

0.20

Shots on target for

6.60

1.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.60

3.40

Home splitL-W-L-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.40

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Ajka's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 28.8% 7D: 11.2% 15D: 10.6% 30D: 18.3%

Model insight

FC Ajka – Csakvari TK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample160

Win Rate43.8%

Profit+2.98u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Marconi Stallions U20 - Sydney United 58 U20	2.23	1.31%
WIN	Boroondara Eagles (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	2.45	1.59%
LOSS	Sport Huancayo II - Comerciantes FC	2.53	1.59%
WIN	HNK Segesta - Karlovac	2.40	1.59%
WIN	Hills United FC - Hakoah Sydney City East	2.24	1.04%
WIN	Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC	2.15	1.04%
LOSS	Riverside Olympic - Clarence Zebras FC	2.47	1.59%
WIN	Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA	2.24	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 1d ago

Updated

Updated 1d 2h ago