Model: TIPPSH
South East United FC vs Launceston United
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.95
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 8:30 AM
ResultWIN4 - 1
StartStarted 1d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is South East United FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: South East United FCGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.001 | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.94First seen
Current1.95Now
Max odds1.99Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
South East United FCHOME
VS
Launceston UnitedAWAY
WLWLW
Recent form
LLDWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.40
Shots on target for
3.20
2.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.40
Home splitW-W-W-L-W1.60 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L0.75 scored / 2.75 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Tasmania Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.95
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors South East United FC. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.8%
7D: 24.0%
15D: 16.2%
30D: 20.9%
Model insight
South East United FC – Launceston United Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample377
Win Rate47.2%
Profit-28.32u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
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Pick
1 @ 1.95
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 8:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 2d ago