Model: TipTromba2H

Lugano vs KF Dukagjini

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 23, 2026 10:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 21h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lugano. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LuganoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.001 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

6/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LuganoHOME

KF DukagjiniAWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

LWWWW

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

6.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

4.20

Home splitL-W-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.38% based on n=1115 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandNONEROI -3.38% · n=1115

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current price indicates market confidence, even if recent form does not show an overwhelming gap. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 26.7% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 20.0%

Model insight

Lugano – KF Dukagjini Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.38% across 1115 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample395

Win Rate64.1%

Profit+11.65u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	JK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II	1.53	-1.89%
LOSS	FC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev	1.73	-3.82%
LOSS	Santa Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U20	1.62	-3.82%
LOSS	GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica	1.73	-1.89%
WIN	NEC - Al Fayha	1.67	-3.82%
LOSS	Club Aurora - Oriente Petrolero	1.62	-3.38%
LOSS	Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W)	1.70	-1.89%

Active Similar Predictions

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Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Lug 23, 2026 10:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.38% • n=1115

Start

Starts in 2d 21h

Updated

Updated 1d 9h ago