Arsenal Tula – Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Model: TIPPSH

Arsenal Tula vs Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.79
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 19, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Arsenal Tula. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Arsenal TulaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.92First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.96Highest point
Min odds1.77Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Arsenal TulaHOME
VS
Neftekhimik NizhnekamskAWAY
LWDDL
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.60
Shots on target for
N/A
1.60
SoT conceded pressure
N/A
3.60
Home splitL-W-D-L-L1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-W-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.79. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Russia Division 1 (ru). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.79
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 30.0% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 19.7%
Model insight

Arsenal Tula – Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.79. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample264
Win Rate45.5%
Profit-37.83u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSShaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W)2.001.04%
WINFlamengo SP U23 - Matonense U231.751.04%
LOSSKaisar Kyzylorda - FK Kaspyi Aktau1.961.31%
LOSSJeonbuk Motors - Daejeon Hana Citizen1.981.04%
WINJK Tallinna Kalev - JK Nomme United II1.901.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.79
Kickoff
Lug 19, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 1d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 2d ago
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