Chertsey Town vs Wealdstone
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Chertsey Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Chertsey TownGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.043Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=258 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Chertsey Town – Wealdstone Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Radcliffe FC - Barrow | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | AFC Telford - Crewe | 4.20 | 4.86% |
| WIN | STK Samorin - Al Gharafa | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| WIN | NIFS Kanoya FC - MHI Nagasaki | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Zulte-Waregem - AZ | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth | 4.10 | 2.97% |
| LOSS | JyTy - IFK Mariehamn II | 4.10 | 4.86% |
| LOSS | CD Espuce (W) - Macara (W) | 4.00 | 4.86% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JyTy - MaPS | 1 | 4.10 | 2.97% | 23 Jul 17:15 |