Stranraer – FC Edinburgh

Model: TIPPSH

Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.91
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 21, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 2h 52m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stranraer. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: StranraerGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: -0.169

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current1.91Now
Max odds1.91Highest point
Min odds1.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

StranraerHOME
VS
FC EdinburghAWAY
LDLDW
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.20
Shots on target for
4.60
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.60
Home splitL-L-W-D-D1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-D1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.91
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Stranraer is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 24.3% 7D: 22.7% 15D: 18.2% 30D: 21.8%
Model insight

Stranraer – FC Edinburgh Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.91. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 1.91
Kickoff
Lug 21, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 2h 52m ago
Updated
Updated 4h 59m ago
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