Auckland United (W) – Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

Model: TipTromba2H

Auckland United (W) vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.62
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 22, 2026 11:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 15h 35m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17h 59m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Auckland United (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Auckland United (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: 0.026 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current1.62Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.62Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Auckland United (W)HOME
VS
Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W)AWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WWD
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.67
Defensive weakness
1.20
0.67
Shots on target for
11.00
5.33
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
9.67
Home splitL-W2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.62
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Auckland United (W) showing a clearer performance edge. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Auckland United (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 25.8% 7D: 29.1% 15D: 22.2% 30D: 23.2%
Model insight

Auckland United (W) – Eastern Suburbs Auckland (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.62. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample399
Win Rate64.2%
Profit+12.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINSKN St Polten (W) - Slovacko (W)1.50-1.89%
WINRangers - St Etienne1.62-3.38%
WINMerthyr Town - Briton Ferry1.53-3.38%
WINJK Trans Narva II - Parnu JK Vaprus II1.53-1.89%
LOSSFC Levadia Tallinn U19 - FA Tartu Kalev1.73-3.82%
LOSSToluca - Unam Pumas1.70-1.89%
LOSSSanta Cruz Acre U20 - Independencia FC U201.62-3.82%
LOSSGKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica1.73-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.62
Kickoff
Lug 22, 2026 11:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 15h 35m ago
Updated
Updated 17h 59m ago
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