Model: TipA1

Fjolnir vs Haukar

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 24, 2026 11:15 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 1h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haukar. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HaukarGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.189 | A: -0.045

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.12Now

Max odds2.12Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FjolnirHOME

HaukarAWAY

LWDDL

Recent form

WWWDW

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.80

Defensive weakness

2.60

1.20

Shots on target for

4.00

5.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

2.00

Home splitD-D-D-D-L1.80 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-W2.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 2 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.00

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.75% · n=380

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Haukar has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.3% 7D: 28.7% 15D: 20.8% 30D: 21.4%

Model insight

Fjolnir – Haukar Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.75% across 380 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample78

Win Rate46.2%

Profit-0.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FK Pribram - FSV Frankfurt	2.00	3.75%
WIN	FK Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	2.10	3.75%
WIN	EDO ALL United - Nankatsu SC	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor	2.25	4.27%
LOSS	Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20	2.25	4.27%
WIN	Linfield - Kilmarnock	2.00	3.75%
WIN	Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC	2.20	3.75%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Uniao Sao Joao - XV Piracicaba	2	2.15	3.75%	23 Jul 00:00

Pick

2 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Lug 24, 2026 11:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.75% • n=380

Start

Starts in 2d 1h

Updated

Updated 9m ago