Boston Utd vs Peterborough
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Boston Utd. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Boston UtdGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.10. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.85% based on n=519 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Boston Utd's attacking profile.
Boston Utd – Peterborough Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Feignies Aulnoye FC - Seraing United | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Levante U20 - Morocco U20 | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Espanol Reserves - Liverpool Montevideo Reserves | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| WIN | Algeria (W) - Zambia (W) | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| LOSS | Ekhaya FC - Big Bullets | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Paulista FC - Primavera SP | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Fluminense PI U20 - CA Piauiense U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Wisloka Debica - Widzew Lodz II | 3.30 | 4.14% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte-Waregem - Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 25 Jul 14:30 |
| ONS (W) - FC Honka (W) | 1 | 3.10 | 2.17% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
| Athlone Town (W) - Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 25 Jul 18:00 |
| CSD Flandria - Excursionistas | 1 | 3.00 | 3.85% | 25 Jul 22:00 |
| BFA Vilnius - FK BE1 | 1 | 3.10 | 3.85% | 26 Jul 14:00 |
| Carapegua - General Caballero JLM | 1 | 3.30 | 3.56% | 26 Jul 15:00 |
| Sandnes Ulf - Kongsvinger | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 26 Jul 17:00 |
| Gyirmot SE - Csakvari TK | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 26 Jul 17:00 |